Pundits Only Accurate As A Coin Toss May03

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Pundits Only Accurate As A Coin Toss

Hamilton College studied the accuracy of 26 political pundits and 472 of their predictions and came up with the following curiousities:

  • Only 9 prognosticators could predict more accurately than a coin flip.
  • 2 were extremely less accurate
  • 14 were no better or worse than a coin flip.
  • Paul Krugman was the most accurate
  • Cal Thomas was least accurate (Fox News analyst, of course)